2012-10-27
2012-11-04
x pennsylvania

STATION
MSNBC 30
MSNBCW 30
CSPAN 17
FOXNEWS 15
CNN 8
CNNW 8
CSPAN2 5
FBC 5
WETA 5
KQED (PBS) 4
WMPT (PBS) 3
WTTG 2
CNBC 1
KNTV (NBC) 1
( more )
LANGUAGE
English 156

Set Clip Length:


, the republican candidate was poppy bush. george h.w. bush. the day before the election that year he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996, republican candidate was bob dole. right before the election, bob dole went and campaigned in pennsylvania. then bob dole lost pennsylvania. in 2004 the republican was president george w. bush and the day before the election, george w. bush went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, george w. bush lost pennsylvania. last time around as well the sunday before the election, there's republican john mccain, campaigning in pennsylvania. and then john mccain loses pennsylvania. right before the election, you can set your watch by it. the republican presidential contender will go and campaign in pennsylvania. and every year the media responds by saying, wow the republican is going to pennsylvania. maybe the republicans are going to win pennsylvania this year. does this mean the republicans are planning on winning pennsylvania this year? and the republicans say, yes, we're go

enlist to sell this message of what real change he's offering america? the headliners were george w. bush's secretary of state, george w. bush's labor secretary, the governor and current speaker of the house. mitt romney, change you can believe in if you really liked george w. bush and if you like the current republican congress. then we're the kind of real change we're looking for. who cast this thing, the democrats? one of the reasons that the message of real change resonated back in 2008 because the country at large had ceased to be delighted by the george w. bush administration. and it wasn't just the war in iraq or, or, or, or. it was stuff like this. this is the u.s. state department's annual report on global terrorism in 2003. every year they would put together a report like this detailing accidents of terrorism around the world. and the next report after this one, showed that despite the bush administration's claims that we were winning the war on terror, despite the constant claims, the number of terrorist attacks had gone up to its highest level in the two decades the state depa

george w. bush won the hispanic vote in 2004. gwen: neither campaign are terribly concerned about that. they just want to win at all cost. do we see any kind -- everybody says it doesn't matter who shows up. as we watch get out the vote efforts an we watch voter disputes and the lawyers being dispatched around the country, is there anything happening that we don't see that doesn't show up in the polls? >> it is the first election since 2004 that's "normal." >> 2006 was a wave, 2010 was a wave. everybody saw the same data. and they were disagreing around the margin. now both sides have a fundamentally different view. it's not just these conversations with the campaigns, the presidential campaigns but also talking to republicans who are doing senate races. democrats who are doing their own independent polling. they too are coming up with polls that look like they're from different planets. so democrats, republicans, very different ideas of what this elect tort is going to look like. gwen: let's go gown to ohio where mitt romney is tonight as we -- let's go down to ohio where mitt romney'

to the right. >> did you ever think that you'd be saying the day george w. bush? >> it is a scary thing. >> you're scaring me. i'm getting frightened krystal ball and alicia menendez, thanks for coming on the show tonight. don't forget to catch krystal right here on msnbc at 3:00 p.m. >>> right now people in florida are waiting two, three, even four hours in line simply to vote. this is a voter suppression and we'll talk about it with the state's former republican governor, charlie crist. >>> plus, mitt romney's hail mary to win the election. is it just a bluff? we'll tell you how republicans have tried and failed with it before. >>> also, donald trump is putting his birther hat back on embarrassing himself and mitt romney. you're watching poins on msnbc. begin. tomato, obviously. haha. there's more than that though, there's a kick to it. wahlalalalallala! smooth, but crisp. it's kind of like drinking a food that's a drink, or a drink that's a food, woooooh! [ male announcer ] taste it and describe the indescribable. could've had a v8. monarch of marketing analysis. with the ability to improve

is the same thing that actually was practiced in the george w. bush administration. president obama isn't using george w. bush's name, but the message is actually pretty crystal clear. and you're seeing these two competing closing arguments at the very end. >> with that being the argument from the president that, you know, especially before hurricane sandy it was when mitt romney unveiled this notion that he is the change candidate here, how has his campaign, or have they effectively fought back that what he is offering back at this late game, 3, 2, 1, what we is a at the bottom, he offering anything that proves he would in fact bring in change? >> well, he hasn't rebutted those criticisms of how his policies are different than george w. bush's. the one he has pointed out, and he did this at the debate is he would actually balance the budget, something that george w. bush didn't do. so that's where he says he would be different. but when you actually look at a lot of the advisers, a lot of the economic policies, they do seem the same. and he hasn't really rebutted that. but what he is a

. and now it's sinking to a new low. >>> and george w. bush has a big october surprise for mitt romney. and he's definitely not going to like it. >>> all of this, plus the great gloria steinem right here on "politicsnation," msnbc. jack, you're a little boring. boring. boring. [ jack ] after lauren broke up with me, i went to the citi private pass page and decided to be...not boring. that's how i met marilyn... giada... really good. yes! [ jack ] ...and alicia. ♪ this girl is on fire [ male announcer ] use any citi® card to get the benefits of private pass. more concerts. more events. more experiences. [ jack ] hey, who's boring now? [ male announcer ] get more access with a citi card. [ crowd cheering, mouse clicks ] you're not using too much are you, hon? ♪ nope. [ female announcer ] charmin ultra soft is so soft you'll have to remind your family they can use less. charmin ultra soft is made with extra cushions that are soft and more absorbent. plus you can use four times less versus the leading value brand. don't worry, there's plenty left for you dad. we all go. why not enjoy

the election, and four days after the tape came out in 2004, george w. bush went on to beat john kerry in the presidential election that year by less than three points. there is, thankfully, no chance of osama bin laden releasing a videotape this year, because he is dead as a door nail. but we did have an october surprise of a different sort this year. with this giant devastating storm hitting the most densely populated part of the united states. and it really is almost no precedent in american politics for something this large happening outside the political sphere, something this large happening this close to when we vote in an election that is this close. there are only a couple of other instances in our history when anything like this has happened. lots of people, of course, are asking how this disaster on the east coast could affect our election. honestly, the answer is we do not know. there is not enough relevant historical precedent to study in order to come up with a historically well-informed answer to that question. the sample size is just too small. we cannot say at this poi

of president george w. bush's service in the alabama national guard popped up in the last couple days or weeks of the election, in 2000 there were reports of a dui arrest that he had in connecticut a couple decades before. in both cases, they didn't move many boats. the october surprise can completely alter a presidential contest, but italy has not done that that much. host: you noted the examples of george w. bush. we know as it is that an october surprise release ways voters. guest: last-minute things can sway voters. i cited examples in that article. not necessarily in the presidential race but let us look the other races right now. in india, the senate candidate murdoch looked like he was slightly above joe donnelly going into the final debate between the men last monday. in that debate he made some comments about rates that were taken -- vitter able to be used in a democratic campaign ad. those comments have dominated the states. the political space for the last couple days. and it has sunk mourdocks place. what we saw there was a real moment in which a last second declaration by a candid

press secretary under president george w. bush. hello to both of you. >> your setup there looks fantastic. democracy plaza looks great. >> i wish you were here to see it. they have been working so hard on this. i could go on an on. we have details to get to. people ice skating. it's just cool. but let's talk about a couple of different ideas here, karen, with you. two respected political analysts have widely divergent predictions for the election. nate silver gives the president an 84% chance of winning and says he'll get 305 electoral votes. flip side mitt romney will be winning with 315 electoral votes. does anyone know what's going to happen? >> no, of course not. this is why i love politics. and this is why i love the pollsters. they try to apply science and data that predict. we're talk about human beings. and human behavior is unpredictable. we can have a sense of what we think is going to happen. the numbers i've been looking at are some of the early vote numbers. for example if you look at some of of these battle ground states and the number of people who have already vo

into a 2004 nail biter. look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically that governor romney is looking at right now, when looks at this and what is the best thing politically president obama is looking at when they look at what is winding down between now and tuesday? >> romney looks at the number among independents and also looks at the possibility of building this national lead and i think closing on the economy. closing with what works for him in terms of making the argument he is the candidate of change. he has to hope for a big weekend to turn things around a little bit in terms of the close and i think president obama has to feel good about how thing

? 50% feel positive. these are the numbers in the same nbc poll from eight years ago when george w. bush won 50 .7% of the vote. that is the parallel of this election. 2004, 2012, incumbent, beleaguered, a close election, ohio decided. -- ohio is at the epicenter today. and that is the story from washington. [laughter] >> thus spaketh -- there is the benediction. >> things are a lot shakier now than they were then, i think that people sense that. how bad does the crisis have to be before congress' response? the wall street crash, going over the cliff? >> romney's numbers on the economy are still better than his. >> slightly. >> the senate -- is it going to go republican, state democratic? >> stay democratic barely. anybody disagree with me? >> kaine and george allen in virginia, who is going to win? >> kaine. >> kaine. >> kaine. >> kaine. that is 8 for kaine. >> massachusetts -- elizabeth warren r. scott brown? >> warren. >> i think warren. >> sharon brown and lh. >> casey in pennsylvania. >> kerrey in nebraska, which nobody would have predicted -- >> kerrey the democrat. medal of

absolutely care. barack obama said george w. bush signing statements and he made the executive branch too powerful, but it turns out he didn't have a problem with executive orders and signing statements, he had a problem with who was doing it. we and independents in florida want a president who will stay within the parameters of the legitimate authority of the presidency. president obama is not pressing independents in florida by running on bill clinton's record and blaming george w. bush. independents are saying, what about your record, mr. president. >> we'll talk a lot more about the undecided states of america not hour. be sure to stay with us for that. we'll talk about new hampshire, the four electoral votes there could really be the difference in this historically close race. >>> this is a story that has a lot of people. we have the latest on malala, the 15-year-old girl shot by the taliban. s everyday you see all the ways all of us at us bank are helping grow our economy. lending more so companies and communities can expand, grow stronger and get back to work. everyday you see all

if he was being honest going all the way back to george h.w. bush in 1992, the republicans take a run into that state at the last minute. and they never carry that state. there are fundamental structural problems for them in pennsylvania. i think that what's happened here -- >> they're putting a -- >> he can't carry ohio. he can't crack ohio so he's searching for pennsylvania. >> hold on, buddy. unlike past years, look, i understand there have been saints, particularly in 2008, into pennsylvania, which makes no sense at all. i happen to agree with you. now a fortune from superpacs is being put into pennsylvania and being followed up on the ground with romney going there. bob shrum, that's what makes it more interesting. and i want to let ed continue. that's what makes it more interesting. >> you know, in pennsylvania they elected a republican senator in 2010 and they've got a republican governor. so it's not completely foreign territory. >> 2010. a presidential year are quite different. and you know it, ed. >> that's right. it's been tough for us since 1988. but that said, it's in pla

disappointment that he hasn't been able to change the tone. george w. bush ran he was going to change the tone. everyone is always going to change the tone. the question is mitt romney promising by partisanship of it like lucy promising charlie brown she won't pull football? [laughter] >> yes, i think it is. i think that he has to nod to that there is no evidence he would govern in of bipartisan way to read george w. bush that is not elected president in my opinion but did not get a majority of the votes -- [applause] he ran that we as a compassionate conservative and you would have expected him to govern as a moderate and realize he presided over a very deeply divided country and instead he was one of the most radical presidents we've ever had, so i expect the same thing from mitt romney who is actually talked who is espousing more radical right policies than george w. bush ever did. like nixon and ronald reagan in certain ways looks like a moderate in terms of education mitt romney is very willing to slash all of that. >> romney brings up his massachusetts experience where he was in an overw

know, george w. bush asked president his flyover of katrina got people very, very angry. in many ways, it hurt the republican party in 2008 along with the war in iraq and the economic crisis of '08, it was sort of the third horseman of the woes that w brought on the country that he didn't seem to care enough during the time of the katrina disaster. >> jennifer: you wrote about this in the great deluge. you wrote after katrina the gulf south region and the united states as a whole needed compassion. what it got instead was the incompetence of george w. bush who acted as though he were disinterested in a natural disaster in which there was no enemy to be found. bush's slow responses to the great deluge made americans ask if he was a bunker commander in chief. and many people would argue that he never recovered from that. would you agree? >> i agree and i was in new orleans when katrina hit. and i was flabbergasted. i mean he went on from crawford, texas to san diego and gave a speech about the navy and about

it to a cabinet-level agency. it got better. george w. bush demoted in to some sub agency within homeland security and look what happens to new orleans. we are seeing before our very eyes a stark difference between mitt romney saying we should privatize everything including fema and barack obama working with even republican governors like chris christie on a federal relief effort. that's a huge talisman for what you believe the proper role of government is in society and i believe this will show that the president's right and people look at this in ohio and swing states. >> not the only very stark difference between the two of them. the latest obviously being sandy and bringing the attention on romney and fema. he was asked yesterday multiple times what he would do with fema. did not answer. but just a short time ago jeb bush commented on local officials responding to disasters versus national or federal response. i'll play that but i want to play something else first. romney on the campaign trail today trying to transition, rachel, from holding off or holding fires to acknowledging the ongoing ev

that was think difference between al gore and george w. bush. and if republicans are not going to try to make an issue to try to deelectoralize president obama, then we have a flood here. >> jennifer: all right. thank you so much david. clearly the electoral vote looks great. the popular vote, not so much and especially if these blue voters in new jersey and new york aren't able to get to the polls, that means progressives where every you have got to vote. your vote really does matter why you ask? because the right-wing will fight his agenda at every turn. losing the popular vote gives them actually a shred of legitimacy, a leg to stand on and it's not going to matter to fox news that george bush lost the popular vote back in 2000 so bottom line even if you are in the deepest blue or deepest red, get to the polls! send in your ballots! your vote absolutely matters if you care about the president's ability to carry out his promises in his sec term. coming up bipartisan gets a much-needed shot in the arm. president obama visits new jersey with my new favorite governor, c

an economy that is still on the mend. >> i am certainly not going to defend george w. bush's debt. but now it is $16 trillion in the reach that point under obama. reductions in spending, there are reductions on the rate of growth. certainly for all the picking we do on greece and italy and spain, they have actually spent a little less year-over-year than they have before. the status came from, california, has managed to do a little bit, too. those are all steps in the right direction. we are only going to get there through cutting spending in the united states. 75% tax rates, history has shown, again and again, going back to the first deficit that hoover ran during the great depression when as history has forgotten, began the process of franklin roosevelt continuing deficit spending in order to take up the slack in aggregate demand. you never reduce your debt that way. the tax increases do not reduce the debt. the new money that comes in that is spent on new programs that get created, those programs perpetuate themselves and they require new spending and new borrowing. cutting spending is

george w. bush would give the keynote speech at a conference in the cayman islands, one of the offshore tax havens where mitt romney has invested millions of dollars. not ideal timing for the campaign of romney. the event went on as planned yesterday, but don't expect any kind of review of w.'s speech. according to nbc, quote, the keynote speech by the former president was totally closed to all journalists, and conference organizers were banned from discussing any aspect of it. an event spokesman said the restrictions were imposed by the former president's own staff. there you have it. any advice the former president had for investing money in offshore tax havens was reserved for the people who paid $4,000 to attend the conference. by the way, "the miami herald" posted the ap's account of w's speech on their website. there's no mention of mitt romney in the piece, but check out the similar stories bar next to the piece. topics like mitt romney's tax return fails to quiet critics and mitt romney and the 47%. i guess it could have been worse. that's "hardball" for now. coming up next, you

palin came here and didn't work out. you go out, george w. bush tried it and bob dole in '96. no republican has been successful since 1988 here in pennsylvania. we're going to keep our eyes on pennsylvania today with paul ryan and tomorrow when mitt romney comes through and i guess we'll find out on tuesday who was right. randi. >> we certainly will. hopefully we'll find out on tuesday the way this is going. >> yes, good point. >> paul steinhauser, thank you very much. >>> much more ahead this hour. >> here's what's coming up. >>> sandy has brought devastation across the northeast, but it may also have been the october surprise. we have the latest on the recovery efforts and sandy's impact on the election. >>> battleground wisconsin. three days left and now it's all about the ground game. we'll take you to one of the contentious swing states. >> i'll tired of both obama and mitt romney. >>> she can't vote, but she's already crying about the election. find out why this toddler just can't take it any more. hmm, it says here that cheerios helps lower cholesterol as part of a hea

the last election. john mccain and george w. bush, three quarters of the likely boarders are going to support mitt romney in this election. >> what are catholics supposed to do this time around? to buy contraceptives for employees of the church and you turn around. the other side of cathol simp promotes the fact of giving to the poor and a lot of the democratic values? >> right. one of the things that you mentioned is that we have two vice presidential candidates who were both catholic and they both represent varying different emphasis of the catholic church in their own way. one of the things we're seeing this year is catholics really have two options. really presented to them and both faithful to catholic teaching. and teaching on social justice. a recent survey. we found that interestingly enough, they say that 2-1 is they would -- they would like to see an emphasis on church leaders from social justice issues and that divide falls out the way you think it would, 6-10 would like to see more emphasis on social justice. the footprints in the church are supporting obama and about 2

of president george w. bush bush's service in the alabama national guard popped up in the last couple days, last couple of weeks of the election. in 2000, there were reports of a dui arrest that bush had in connecticut a couple decades before the. in both of those cases, they didn't really move many votes. southern ocean of the october surprise is something that can completely alter a presidential contest really hasn't done that that much. >> host: right. we both noted example that george w. bush. he won. do we have evidence that an october surprise really swayed -- sways voters to? >> guest: eyesight a couple of examples in that article. it's not necessarily the presidential level but let's take a look at some of the races farther down about happening around the country right now. in indiana, the senate candidate richard mourdock looked like he was slightly ahead of democrats joe donnelly going into the final debate between the two men. in that debate, mourdock made some comments about rape that were taken, well, that were able to be used in a democratic campaign ad. those comments have d

suburbs. once upon a time affluent suburbs were solid republican territory, george h.w. bush in 1988 got big margins and carried states like michigan, ohio, california, in the four suburban counties outside philadelphia, he got 61% of the vote. zeroed out the democratic margin in the city of philadelphia. if you look at over the last 20 years, there's been a democratic trend in the affluent suburbs, and so president barack obama carried those four counties in pennsylvania with 57% of the vote if he carried the state. mitt romney grew up in bloomfield hills. >> a suburb of detroit. >> well, i grew up in the same area, went to the same high school so i'm quite familiar with it. he seems to be doing better. i if you look at the battleground poll -- the pew research poll where you have a big sample. so if you have a subsample you have some confidence the numbers are good. you see that romney, post-october 3rd debate, is carrying apparently statistically significant margins. people with incomes over over $75,000. barack obama carried them 15-49 in 2008. romney made bigger gains with the high

, tipped the election to george w. bush. maybe it was just one vote on the supreme court. you get my point. it's why this year small numbers can have a big impact on the election. as first lady michelle obama reminded an audience in wisconsin late last week. >> it could all come down to just a few battleground states, like right here in wisconsin, states that could be decided by just a few thousand votes. when you take that number and you spread those votes out across this entire state, you know, across hundreds of cities and thousands of wards, it becomes smaller, right? so when you break it down, it turns out that just a handful of votes in every ward could make all the difference in this election. >> so here when we hear about disenfranchisement of any voters, we pay attention. when we first heard last week that arizona had distributed voter registration cards with a spanish translation saying election day was november 8th instead of november 6th, we were initially willing to give them the benefit of the doubt. after all, there were fewer than 50 cards printed. we could buy the county's

if you think the same thing? >> george w. bush tried to propose bipartisan immigration reform. it was sunk. >> that is just not tree to say it was both parties. labor always opposed these, did the tough thing, bit down, went to their members, members that are suspicious of this and sold them that bill. this is mccain/kennedy. in 2008, when the candidates were running, john mccain took his name off the bill. it's not true it was killed by both parties. >> let's talk about what barack obama has done. he hasn't proposed a plan. one thing that comes out of the book is president obama doesn't enjoy the policy negotiations with congress. itis not his thing. >> why wuld you enjoy that? you would have to be a masochist to enjoy that. >> it's how you pass it. bill clinton did enjoy it. maybe he was a masochist. >> he was impeached. >> exactly. that's what he got for it. >> you have to get into the nitty gritty and have those policies. >> let me ask you about this. romney, we all saw him get up there and take the wood to rick perry in the primaries on immigration. you want to spend $100

guess. [ buzzer ] >> stephanie: who said the decisions are very popular now, like george w. bush presented with a similar option did not strike a similar option. who said that? >> charles nelson riley. [ buzzer ] >> stephanie: no, jonathan chase. i love this article. don't you love it, chris? >> i love it. it's fabulous. >> it's a fabulous program. >> stephanie: sometimes i feel like i'm losing my mind. i done understand why anybody cannot -- we played that fast talker yesterday asking for a link to it -- >> it's on your facebook page. >> stephanie: i have said this over and over i really truly think he has accomplished an unbelievable amount. and jonathan chase, my future husband says a year ago i wrote about the disillusionment that has shadowed obama supporters. all were seen by many democrats at the time as failures it's true all of them including obama have made errors but this tells us we need a realistic baseline to measure them. roosevelt is the only president that comes close is lyndon johnson who's successes were overwhelmed by his failures -- skipp

this state twice. in 2,000 it went to george w. bush. but in two thour four it went to john carry. the president got a nine point victory in 2008. so we are a toss up state. the polls go back and forth forth. >>> it's difficult to determine who is going to win this state. host: how do residents vote on election day? guest: there is not early voting but tr is absentee ballots which have you to sign a form saying you're not going to be available on voting day to come to the polls. traditionally polls are open from 7:00 to 7:00, some are open until 8:00 p.m. on election day. we have one of the highest voter turnouts in the country. other stratist cal facts are that we are one of the least tax states in the nation, the least stack state actually. we have no income tax, no sales tax. both the democrat and republican candidates will campaign on that issue pledging that they will not have an income tax or sales tax. our two governor candidates are running on that issue as a matter of fact. host: and talk about the recount laws that are in the state of new hampshire. is it possible that t

for the george w. bush administration. she is now a fox news host. >> you can imagine if he said, as commander-in-chief, it is important for me to stay back here at the white house. just imagine everybody would have thought, wow, how responsible. >> once the president made a statement, i'm not sure what he should have done. >> democrat, eleanor holmes thornton represents the district of columbia. >> obvious sit in mourning for several days and not go about our daily business. >> septembers', secretary of state hillary clinton suggests the attack was a spontaneous attack about the antiis lamb video. >> there is no justification, none at all, for responding to this video with violence. >> white house press secretary jake carney explicitly blames the video the next day. >> these proprosts -- proe protests were in reaction to a video. we have no information to suggest it was preplanned attack. >> later that day, at the transfer of a ceremony at joint base andrews, clinton talks again about the video. >> we have seen rage and violence directed at american embassies over an awful, internet video tha

's" political economist. amity shlaes is director for the 4% project at the george w. bush institute and author of the forthcoming "coolidge: a biography of america's 30th president." ken rogoff, whom i mentioned, is a professor of economics at harvard university, and amity shlaes is the author of thompson reuters digital and author of "politocrats." become back to both of you. ken, the piece i mentioned, you and carmen rhine hahart wrote almost a political piece about how the u.s. was doing. you said, look, compared with other big financial crises that meet the recessions, we're doing pretty well. fair? >> yeah. that's a fair characterization of what they said and what we said. i mean, it's fair game to say we can do better. we will a plan where the economy's going to grow better. but it you're going to evaluate what happened, was it a bad recovery, was it a good recovery, i think you have to compare it to deep financial crisis. this was not a plain vanilla recession. you have to compare it to deep financial crises we've had in this country which don't happen very often. and other countries ar

and whether it is a return to the policies of george w. bush. >>guest: chris, it is simple why governor romney is doing so were better in ohio. people are focused on the economy and jobs and mitt romney has a land that is pro growth and pro jobs and president obama doesn't. when you look at the last four years they are disappointed. we are living through the weakest economic recovery since the great depression, there are 22 million americans struggling to find works and 3.5 million more women in poverty. take home pay has gone down $4,300 per family. president obama has the glossy brochure and i have looked at that brochure and i layed this role of obama during the debate preparation and it is more of the same. you can argue we need to do more of the same but it hasn't worked and it hasn't worked by president obama's own measurement, saying unemployment would be 15 percent lower if we passed the stimulus package. he said economic growth today would be two-thirds higher than it is. so, it hasn't worked. the one thing he does have in his new proposal is to raise taxes. yes, he wants to raise tax

. compare that to 2004, were the center of the state was essentially read for george w. bush. john carey won a huge margin in philadelphia and pittsburgh, also winning in it -- north western pennsylvania. a huge vote difference. loretta is joining us from pennsylvania, republican line. terry madonna in harrisburg. good morning. caller: hello -- my comment is that i think obama should be impeached for allowing the ambassador and seal, after requesting help three times, being denied, told to stand down -- you cannot tommy the president did not know about it. he is dancing around this issue, and i think it should be made a national issue and i am very disappointed in him and hillary clinton, her being a mother and a woman. i think it is disgusting. host: if you had a chance to ask the president a question on this issue, what would you ask him? caller: why did you have the skies murdered? that would be my question. -- those guys murder? why did he not sent up there when he could? host: we'll get a response -- terry madonna on this issue generally and also on foreign policy, how that is playing o

in a presidential campaign >> think of george w. bush, and campaigning for mitt romney. it would be all over the place. what is this former president doing campaigning? lou: think about what difference in history is if eisenhower is campaigning for nixon in 1960. >> exactly, and we have seen that our former presidents, maybe with the exception of jimmy carter, who every once in awhile stick a needle into somebody's back, but basically even carter hasn't gone and the campaign trail in favor of aristocratic and it. lou: a lot of journalists trying to catch up with anne klein reporting on the machinations of clinton, the secretary and her legal team trying to match your reporting. her role, the president's -- the former president's role in taking responsibility for benghazi, then stepping back from it, leaving her in a heightened, elevated, if you will, memory, at least, those who follow politics, but taking effectively no responsibility. the president's stepping forward. what is going on here? >> and the president was asked today, i believe, about this benghazi think. he said, as i said to my

chief of staff to president george w. bush, karl rove. fox is a contributor. good to have you with us. you have said from the outset that this would be a tight race. did you really expected to be this tech??3 >> the -- that is hard to say, but it will be tight. this will not be settled until the wee hours of wednesday morning. maybe sometime wednesday they will finish counting the ballots, but it will be very tight. lou: and in your most recent op-ed in the "wall street journal" you said it is all about the numbers. amongst the numbers you put a run the victory by two or three percentage points. are you updating that here tonight? are you still convinced of that margin? >> i still think it will e close to that margin. i do think there was an impact on this race to my subtle impact. let's go beyond the polls. let's start looking at the actual turnout. the key for me is ohio. it. lou: all right. i love it. >> there we go. 547,000 democrats have voted early or cast an absentee ballot early or have requested an absentee ballots compared to 470,000 republicans. democrats traditionally out

before the election in 2008 and he lost. the same plan and same result for george w. bush in 2004 and bob dole in 1996. >>> let's check out florida and that's where we find, long, long lines. some people waited in line as long as five hours to cast their early vote. today is the last day for early voting. we'll take you live to florida next hour. how close is the race there? take a look. this poll shows president obama with a slim slelead, 49-47. >>> both campaigns are finding some talking points to drive home their closing arguments. here it is. unemployment ticked up to 7.9% while the economy added 171,000 jobs in october. that's more than most expected. earlier, i spoke with bill gross who runs the world's biggest mutual fund pinco if these numbers are enough to move voters and the markets. >> i'm not sure it is, victor. actually, the election may hinge on the length of gas lines in new jersey and new york on monday as opposed to the number of jobs announced on friday. in any case, the job creation number is sufficient going forward to certainly level the unemployment rate and, ultimat

with resistance by republicans. contrast that to george w. bush. his major initiatives, war in iraq, medicare part d and no child left behind had substantial democratic support. in no child left behind, the leading liberal in the senate ted kennedy joining with president bush to push no child left behind. contrast that to the way the republicans treated barack obama and you see the total hypocrisy of that claim. >> governor, philadelphia aside obama's biggest drop off has been among middle to upper class suburban women. why do you think that is? you know the state. >> because the economy is not doing well. pennsylvania's economy has taken a nose dive since i left. when i left -- well truth is truth. when i left we were 7.4% unemployment, almost two points below the national average. we're now above the national average by a third of a point. so, it's significant. but the economy has not done well and suburban women are conscious of the economy. you'll know right away in pennsylvania, you don't have to look far to see whether this will be a close race. just look at the turnout in philadelphia. if t

-organized campaigns that we've seen in recent memory was the 2004 george w. bush campaign. karl rove engineered a very impressive, microtargeting effort, where they started to integrate people's consumer preferences with their voting data to try to more precise -- so instead of just saying, ok, we're going to target everyone that we know is, say, a latino woman, you can actually individually start to target people based on what kind of car they drive, or what kind of cereal they eat, or all kinds of little factors that the people know from, you know, when you fill out surveys or when you buy things, that kind of thing. the obama campaign did that even more impressively in 2008, and they've been building on that ever since. so they've built a really formidable sort of digital, integrated data-targeting effort, that they then have put together with this vast network of field offices on the ground and neighborhood teams and volunteers and through facebook and everything else, so they know practically who all of their voters are, the millions and millions of people that they expect or hope they can drive

florida went for george w. bush by 537 votes? out of millions cast. >> i am. because you can't ever get that out of your head because it was just such a surprise. i can tell you, you know, it's not whether i hear them, it's whether both these campaigns hear them. one of the things i was listening to james baker the other day who of course was the lead lawyer for the then-candidate bush in 2000 who said, look, none of us ever expected this would happen. we weren't ready for a recount when it suddenly was obvious they needed one. both sides have lawyers that have been studying sometimes automatic recounts in some states. they've been looking at all the voter laws in these swing states just for the possibility that this could happen in ohio or colorado or florida or, you know, any of the -- virginia, any of those other swing states. >> you're seeing evidence in ohio, john, of a lot of lawyers getting ready to get involved if necessary. >> reporter: and let's hope it doesn't happen. but they're watching this through the early voting process. there are observers when you go to the early voti

1992 phenomenon that has changed that. he one the state twice. in 2000 it went to george w. bush. kerrey., john care the president got a nine point victory in 2008. we really are tossups state. the polls go back and forth. it is difficult to determine who is going to win this state right now. host: is there early voting and how do the hampshire residents vote on election day? guest: there's not early voting, but there's absentee ballot. you have to sign a form saying you are not going to be available on voting day to come to the polls. traditionally, the polls are open from about 7:00 until 7:00. some locations are open until 8:00 p.m. on election day. we have one of the highest voter turnouts in the country. other statistical interesting facts are that we are one of the least taxed states in the nation. the least. we have no income tax, no sales tax. the democratic and republican candidates will pledge on that issue, saying they will not have an income tax or sales tax. our two gubernatorial candidates right now are both running on that issue. host: neil levesque, about the reco

with the business of politics is impacted by weather and remember, katrina and what happened with george w. bush's reputation, it's impacted other politicians along the way. let's talk now about the actual event itself. george is a storm chaser. george, have you ever seen-- first of all, it's such a late season hurricane and it's meeting with the arctic air from canada and the low pressure system coming from the west. what's going to -- what's going to happen. first of all, what's it like where you are and what's going to happen? >> well, right now, i'm similar to the weather system from canada, i'm on myself on my way from canada. it's calm right now. getting near the pa-new jersey border getting into position to go down near the water in jersey or long island and i've never seen anything quite like this. been through about 16 hurricanes, including katrina, rita and ike and although this isn't the most powerful storm i've been in, it's certainly the largest and i'm curious to see what's going to happen because it's not often you see this type of combination of weather systems, impacting a pop l

.t. revolution and a shift in policies under the clinton and george w. bush administrations. from washington, this is one hour and 25 minutes. >> welcome, everybody. i am simon rosenberg. we are grateful that you came out here today. if we had done an event around polling we would have a few more people, but we are lucky to have joining rob shapiro, the chair of our globalization initiative, our good friend edward luce, who is now the former bureau chief of "the financial times," now chief american commentator and is also a published author. he has recently written one of the more influential or at least highly commentated -- there was so much commentary around his book about whether or not america was in decline in the economic issues we will be talking about today and we feel lucky he took time out of his busy schedule to guide us. many of you know rob shapiro, who has a long history of policy leadership here in washington, starting in the early days working for daniel patrick moynihan, to helping advise bill clinton in 1992, and eventually becoming the undersecretary of commerce in the se

george w. bush and a romney supporter and rnc surrogate. good afternoon to you, sir. >> great to be with you, craig. >> polls in florida show the race mighty close. how tough will it be for romney to carry the state if democrats win the early voting battle by a significant margin? >> governor romney really needs to win in the state of florida. the early voting, you characterized that right. it's been a democratic strength. as a matter of fact, in 2008, the obama team had a 10% advantage on early vote nationwide. what we are seeing in these battleground states and across the country in this cycle is that that advantage is still there but much smaller, less than 4% advantage to the democrats so far in early voting. what the republicans are trying to do in key states like florida, especially ohio, is just do everything they can to improve upon their performance four years ago and mccain's performance four years ago. to have a really vigorous get out the vote effort on election day. >> i want to continue this conversation about early voting. let's move to ohio now. "time" magazine

said mitt romney was trying to take the country back to the george w. bush years. here he was. >> governor romney's been here making last-minute promises lately. said he's all about fighting for the middle class. says he'd cut taxes for everybody. and ask something from nobody. but the problem is we've heard those promises before. >> mitt romney meantime has added an important endorsement here in the battleground state of iowa. the "des moines register" as of last night has chosen romney because they say this is all about the economy. keep in mind, they endorsed the president four years ago, then-senator four years ago. this marks the first time in 40 years that the newspaper has backed a republican in the presidential election here. just on friday, i spoke with carol hunter. she is the senior news director of the paper. she very much so agreed with me. iowa up for grabs. >> it's pretty much like ohio in that it's very much a toss-up state. all the polls are showing it pretty much dead even. there's a rasmussen report out that has them both at 48%. the rolling averages are all

to the policies of george w. bush. >> chris, it is pretty simple why governor romney s doing so much better in ohio. people are focused on the economy and jobs and mitt romney has got a plan that is progrowth, projobs to turn this thing around and president obama doesn't. when people look at the last four years they are disappointed. they must be. we are living through the weakest economic recovery since the great depression. there are 22 million americans struggling to find work. 3.5 million more women in poverty. take home pay has gone down 4300 bucks per family on average. we are headed in the wrong direction. president obama, your' right he has a glossy new you brochure. i looked at that brochure and i played this role of obama during debate prep and it is more of the same. you can argue that we need to do more of the same but it hasn't worked and it hasn't worked by president obama's own when he surements. he said unemployment would be 50% lower today than it is if we just passed the stimulus package. he said economic growth would be two thirds higher than it actually is. it hants work

president obama needs to go right now. it reminds me of the stated reason that george w. bush didn't land in new orleans right after hurricane katrina. he didn't want to get in the way of some of the cleanup. of course that disaster response didn't go as well as it looks like president obama is handling the response happening this time. but there is the danger dealing with secret service logistics at a time when regular logistics, just living every day life, becomes incredibly hard. >> i think it's worth pointing out certainly the obama campaign probably didn't imagine the extent. warmth of the words that chris christie has for the president, but mitt romney held his disaster relief event in ohio yesterday. the question that dogged him that he would not answer was about fema. take a listen. >> governor, what should fema's role be? governor, would you eliminate fema if you were president? >> well, it's either 11 or 14 times, depending on whose count you believe. the campaign released a statement saying that romney would not abolish fema but, quote, governor romney believes that states shou

've seen this before. in 2000, karl rove said, george w. bush was going to win california. they spent millions and millions of dollars on advertising there. they sent bush out there, precious time, near the end of the campaign. i said, tad devine, carter, those of us involved in that campaign, so we're not spending one dime in california, and gore won the state by 1.3 million votes. the wish can't become father to the reality, which is what's going on here. >> like a team trying to talk their way to a championship instead of playing the game, so to speak. shouldn't romney have florida wrapped up? >> he should. he has a lot of -- there, he has structural advantages because he's got the governor and virtually all the statewide officials. but i think the medicare, and the republicans like to say, oh, we've countered it with this lie about a $716 billion cut under obama care, when in fact there is no such cut. there's no cut in benefits. i think that seniors have figured out two things. one, romney wants to replace medicare with voucher care. they don't like it. but isn't it the latino an

to george w bush. george bush was the incumbent president with you they say ohio under reports how the candidate is doing and there is plenty of room for mitt romney's ground game to put him over-the-top in ohio and get him to the 270 needed tuesday night. bill: back in the same part of virginia where they have been for the last couple of months. the president is giving his closing argument and using colin powell to do that. what is tkpwoef governor romney's closing argument? >> the intervention of hurricane sandy interrupted his driver reas much as he wanted to. it boils on you to bold, real change. mr. obama having been reelected wasn't able to keep many of the promises that he made. many of the policies that he put forth as a candidate didn't work as president. he has been emphasizing his bayh partisanship as governor of massachusetts trying to get swing voters in this race. we have ten battleground states that mitt romney plans to visit between now and tuesday night. he'll include in them pennsylvania and wisconsin, states that had been considered in the obama column that he no

by president george w. bush. carmona also served as sheriffs deputy along the u.s. border with mexico. democrats hope that bipartisan background can appeal to the independents, who make up a third of the state's voters. the candidate talks about republican efforts to recruit him while he served in as surgeon general. >> the republican party did ask me to become a republican. i said why? i was an independent my whole life, because i always thought that there were good sides-- both sides had good solutions to problems. unfortunately, we got so partisan now that democracy's in the gridlock, because nobody can agree on compromising. compromise becomes a four-letter word. >> reporter: and in the grand canyon state one issue and one hispanics make up 15% of arizona's registered voters, and a recent survey showed they favor carmona over flake by a six-to-one ratio. but in arizona, like elsewhere in the country, hispanics have not turned out to vote in the same numbers as other groups. if democrats can mobilize latinos in large enough numbers, they could win the election and that turns daniel

on the presidential election. caller: george w. bush -- i worked with him from 2000 to to 2005. i changed to be an independent. and then i changed. but now obama -- he has too many good things going for him. he made some serious mistakes. but he has too many good things going for him. i will vote for him. if i can vote. our elections in this building, there's no electricity. if i can, i will vote for obama. host: james from new jersey. i want to bring in another new jersey congressman, congressman,. . our last caller brought up a concern about voting on tuesday. well but be a problem? guest: it may be a problem in the sense of people being able to access a polling place. now, every authority whether it is the governor or the county clerk's -- they assured us that there will be places to vote. but if we have places to vote that are significantly distant from where people traditionally do vote, or where there is an access problem -- that does pose a problem. we have to make sure that there is a polling place that is operational, and in a reasonable location for people to vote. you cannot te

is the recovery is much, much weaker than any recovery we've ever seen. only the george w. bush recovery is on par with this in terms of recovery from a recession for job creation. so what we have here is a situation that is improved from the conditions to the end of the recession. it's unquestionably improved. but not improved by enough to be anywhere near where it needs to be for the vast majority of americans who have seen their income stag nate or for the 12 million people who are still looking for work and can't find a job. >> craig, what about the stock market getting a boost because of yesterday's consumer confidence report which gives the highest rating since 2008? so that and you take in the new jobs report, what does it mean for the overall economy? >> and potentially how people feel about it and this presidential election? >> i think one of the positive things about today's unemployment report is that it corroborate rates some of the other positive news trickling in from places like the stock market, the number of people claiming insurance has been edging down steadily. as you were sayi

, total blackout. last month i told you a few days before the election george w. bush would give the keynote speech a the a conference in the cayman islands, one of the offshore tax havens where mitt romney has invested millions of the dollars. not ideal timing for the campaign of romney. the event went on as planned yesterday but don't expect any kind of review of w.'s speech. according to nbc, quote, the keynote speech by the former president was totally closed to all journalists and conference organizers were banned from discussing any aspect of it. the restrictions were imposed by the former president's own staff. there you have it. any advice the former president had for investing money in offshore tax haches was reserved for the people who paid $4,000 to attend the conference. by the way, the miami herald posted the ap's account of w's speech on their website. there's no mention of mitt romney in the piece, but check out the similar stories bar next to the piece. topics like mitt romney's tax return fails to quiet critics and mitt romney and the 47%. i guess it could have b

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